Food Security Assessment Situation and Outlook No. (GFA-26)
ERS has developed a new approach for modeling food security that will be employed in the 2016 Assessment.
- This change is largely driven by countries where civil strife disrupts agricultural activities (i.e., Democratic Republic of Congo, Central African Republic, Somalia) or where population growth remains around or above 3 percent per year thereby precluding increase per capita food supply (i.e., Burundi, Ethiopia, Uganda, Burkina Faso).
- The increases in the number of food-insecure people and the distribution gap nearly match, meaning that there is little measureable intensification in food insecurity, on average.
- In 20 of the region’s 39 countries included in this study, 20 percent or less of the population is projected to be food insecure in 2015.